Recency Bias: The Hidden Trap in Equity Mutual Fund Investing
Next Portfolio
Monday, October 6, 2025
Recency Bias
Recency Bias: The Hidden Trap in Equity Mutual Fund Investing
Wednesday, September 24, 2025
ЁЯМН Nothing is Permanent in Today’s Geopolitics
Friday, September 5, 2025
Portfolio Diversification is like Cricket Team
Why Diversification Is the True Strength of Your Portfolio
When investors look at their portfolio, a common question arises:
“This scheme is doing very well, but why are the other ones not performing the same way?”
It’s a fair question. But here’s the truth: a strong portfolio is not built for every scheme to perform equally at the same time. It is built for balance, stability, and long-term wealth creation.
The Cricket Team Analogy
Think of your portfolio like a cricket team.
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You don’t expect every player to score a century in every match.
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The opener may take big risks to score quickly, while the middle-order batsman plays carefully to build stability.
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The bowler doesn’t score runs at all—but is absolutely crucial for winning matches.
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The wicketkeeper may not hit big shots, but his consistency and safe hands are essential for the team’s success.
And remember—even the best players fail sometimes. Virat Kohli might get out for zero in a match or go through a rough patch, but that doesn’t mean he’s not one of the greatest players. Similarly, if one scheme underperforms in a certain period, it doesn’t mean it has lost its value.
A cricket team wins because of collective performance, not because of one star. In the same way, your portfolio succeeds when all schemes work together in their own roles.
Why Every Scheme Doesn’t Perform the Same
Each mutual fund or investment scheme follows a different strategy. Its performance depends on many factors, such as:
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Market conditions – Different sectors shine at different times.
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Sector allocation – IT may perform well during a technology boom, while banking may shine when interest rates are favorable.
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Stock allocation – A few chosen stocks can significantly impact performance.
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Risk level – Some funds take higher risks for higher returns, while others focus on steady, calculated growth.
This is why one scheme may deliver extraordinary returns in a given year while others appear average. The high-performing scheme may simply be positioned in the right sector at the right time—or it may be taking greater risks. The others are not “bad performers”; they are playing their roles to provide stability and balance.
The Real Purpose of Diversification
Diversification is like insurance for your investments.
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If you only put money into the top-performing scheme, you might enjoy big gains today—but also face high risks tomorrow if conditions change.
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By spreading your investments across different schemes, sectors, and strategies, you protect yourself from sharp downturns.
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Some schemes will give growth, others will give stability, and some will act as a cushion during tough market phases.
This mix is what allows your wealth to grow steadily and sustainably over time.
The Big Picture
When you evaluate your investments, don’t judge them scheme by scheme. Instead, look at your portfolio as a whole.
At any point in time, a few schemes will lead, while others will quietly protect your capital. Together, they ensure that your portfolio is well-balanced, resilient, and aligned with your long-term goals.
Just like a cricket team doesn’t depend on one player to win every match, your portfolio doesn’t rely on one scheme. Diversification is the real strength behind consistent wealth creation.
Akshay Tiwari
Next Portfolio
ЁЯМР www.nextportfolioindia.com
AMFI Registered Mutual Fund Distributor
Monday, September 1, 2025
U.S.–India Tensions and the Emerging Strategic Realignment
ЁЯМН U.S.–India Tensions and the Emerging Strategic Realignment
Immediate Challenges
U.S. Tariffs Bite: 50% duties on Indian exports could shrink trade by $55–60 billion annually, hitting textiles, gems, shrimp, and auto parts.
Market Volatility: Rupee at historic lows, ~$2.4 billion in FII outflows in three sessions, with August marking the sharpest sell-off of 2025.
GDP Growth Risks: Moody’s projects up to 0.7% drag on GDP, though S&P expects resilience given India’s domestic demand strength.
Emerging Benefits & Opportunities
1. Energy Security & Cost Advantage
Discounted Russian Oil: India secures crude at 20–30% cheaper than global benchmarks, stabilizing domestic inflation and energy costs.
Diversified Energy Basket: Reduces dependency on Middle Eastern oil and U.S. LNG, strengthening long-term supply security.
2. Stronger Multipolar Position
Strategic Autonomy: India asserts independence—balancing U.S. ties with deeper SCO/BRICS engagement.
Voice of Global South: With China & Russia, India gains leverage in shaping alternative trade/finance structures like the proposed SCO development bank.
3. New Market Access
China Trade Reset: Revival of flights, visa relaxation, and expanded trade routes could unlock billions in bilateral flows.
Russia Corridor Advantage: The Chennai–Vladivostok Maritime Corridor cuts shipping time by 40%, reducing costs for energy and defense imports.
South-South Trade Expansion: India is diversifying exports to Africa, Latin America, and ASEAN, reducing reliance on the U.S. market.
4. Domestic Economic Upside
Industrial Push: Tariffs accelerate “Make in India” programs, spurring MSME participation and PLI scheme adoption.
Currency Competitiveness: A weaker rupee makes Indian IT, pharmaceuticals, and services exports more competitive globally.
FDI Rebalancing: Non-U.S. investors (Japan, EU, Middle East) see India as a hedge against China and a key growth hub.
5. Technology & Defense Synergies
Russia & China Tech Collaboration: Opportunities in energy, AI, green tech, and defense R&D.
Indigenization Boost: Push for domestic defense production strengthens Atmanirbhar Bharat agenda.
Strategic Outlook
Risk Opportunity
Risk: Short-term export losses due to U.S. tariffs
Opportunity: Cheaper energy imports, stable inflation
Risk: Rupee depreciation, capital outflows
Opportunity: More competitive Indian services & IT exports
Risk: Trade volatility with U.S. Market
Opportunity: Access via SCO, BRICS, and South-South corridors
Risk: Pressure on GDP growth
Opportunity: Domestic reform acceleration + PLI, GST reform, FDI inflows
Summary
Despite near-term pain from U.S. tariffs, India is turning adversity into opportunity. By securing discounted Russian oil, improving ties with China, and accelerating market diversification through SCO and BRICS platforms, India is positioning itself as a resilient, multipolar leader. A weaker rupee and stronger domestic reforms also enhance competitiveness, offering long-term benefits even as U.S. tensions remain.
Tuesday, August 26, 2025
Ganesh Chaturthi: A Celebration of Life and Wealth Creation
Friday, August 22, 2025
Ye Zindagi Na Milegi Dobara
Friday, August 15, 2025
Shri Krishan Janmashtami & The Art of Overcoming Financial Hurdles
ЁЯМ╕ Janmashtami & The Art of Overcoming Financial Hurdles ЁЯМ╕
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